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I am wondering if match should actually be match__exact? Have you tried the following to see if it makes any difference? I also prefer to use the Q class. https://docs.djangoproject.com/en/1.7/ref/models/queries/
from django.db.models import Q
home_trend = ResultForecast.objects.filter(
Q(match__exact=match) &
Q(home_goals__gt=F('away_goals')))
away_trend = ResultForecast.objects.filter(
Q(match__exact=match) &
Q(away_goals__gt=F('home_goals')))
Source:stackexchange.com